Recession Hedge

It seems that the Federal Reserve is in an unusual position: while raising interest rates to slow stronger-than-expected inflation, it is now experiencing financial instability concerns. As a result of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB) and the Federal Reserve’s intervention to support bank liquidity, yields sank dramatically across the board. Nevertheless, numerous factors suggest that the Federal Reserve may maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period, as persistent inflation and recent employment data indicate the need for further tightening measures. We maintain our stance that the Fed…